MANILA, Philippines – ‘Bagyong Odette’ (international name: Rai) slightly intensifies and nearing typhoon category in strength, state weather bureau PAGASA announced in its 5:00 am update on Wednesday, December 15, 2021.
At 4:00 am today, the center of Severe Tropical Storm ‘Odette’ was estimated based on all available data at 735 km East of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur.
|Satellite image of Bagyong ‘Odette’ as of 5:00 am, December 15, 2021. Photo from PAGASA|
‘Bagyong Odette’ has maximum sustained winds of 110 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 135 km/h, and central pressure of 980 hPa. It is moving West Northwestward at 25 km/h. Strong winds or higher extend outwards up to 330 km from the center.
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 1 (Strong winds prevailing or expected within 36 hours)
- Northern Samar
- Eastern Samar
- Southern Leyte
- the northern and central portions of Cebu (Daanbantayan, Medellin, City of Bogo, San Remigio, Tabogon, Borbon, Sogod, Catmon, Carmen, Danao City, Compostela, Liloan, Tabuelan, Tuburan, Asturias, City of Carcar, Pinamungahan, San Fernando, Toledo City, City of Naga, Balamban, Minglanilla, Cebu City, City of Talisay, Consolacion, Mandaue City, Lapu-Lapu City, Cordova) including Bantayan and Camotes Islands
- Dinagat Islands
- Surigao del Norte
- Surigao del Sur
- Agusan del Norte
- Agusan del Sur
- the eastern portion of Misamis Oriental (Magsaysay, Gingoog City, Medina, Talisayan, Balingoan, Kinoguitan, Sugbongcogon, Salay, Jasaan, Balingasag, Lagonglong, Binuangan, Claveria, Villanueva, Tagoloan)
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
‘Odette’ is forecast to move west northwestward until this afternoon, then westward thereafter. On the forecast track, the center of this tropical cyclone is forecast to make landfall in the vicinity of Caraga or Eastern Visayas tomorrow afternoon or evening.
Afterwards, the center of ‘Odette’ will continue moving generally westward and cross several provinces in Central and Western Visayas regions before emerging over the Sulu Sea on Friday morning or afternoon. After passing near or over the Cuyo archipelago, this tropical cyclone is forecast to cross the northern portion of Palawan on Friday evening before emerging over the West Philippine Sea.
Further intensification is expected today through tomorrow as the severe tropical storm crosses the Philippine Sea. ‘Odette’ is forecast to intensify into a typhoon within 12 hours and may reach a peak intensity of 155 km/h prior to making landfall tomorrow afternoon or evening.
This tropical cyclone may see some slight weakening as it crosses the Visayas and Palawan, but it is forecast to remain within the typhoon category. Re-intensification is likely once ‘Odette’ emerges over the West Philippine Sea.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Today through tomorrow early morning: Light to moderate with at times heavy rains are possible over Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, and Dinagat Islands due to the trough and the outermost rain bands of ‘Odette’.
Tomorrow early morning through Friday early morning: Heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, the northern portion of Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, the northern portion of Agusan del Sur, Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, Southern Leyte, Bohol, Negros Oriental, and Cebu.
Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Leyte, the southern portion of Eastern Samar, Siquijor, and the rest of Caraga.
Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Bicol Region, Zamboanga del Norte, Oriental Mindoro, Romblon, and the rest of Visayas and Northern Mindanao.
Friday early morning through Saturday early morning: Heavy to intense with at times torrential rains over Western Visayas, and the northern and central portions of Palawan including Cuyo and Cagayancillo Islands.
Moderate to heavy with at times intense rains over Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, and Negros Oriental. Light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Bicol Region, Northern Mindanao, Caraga, Zamboanga del Norte, Quezon, Aurora, the eastern portions of Cagayan and Isabela, and the rest of Visayas.
Under these conditions, scattered to widespread flooding (including flash floods) and rain-induced landslides are expected especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazard as identified in hazard maps, and in localities with significant antecedent rainfall.
Strong winds (strong breeze to near gale) with higher gusts will be experienced within any of the areas where TCWS #1 is currently in effect during the passage of the severe tropical storm. This may generally bring up to very light damage to structures and vegetation.
Areas under TCWS will be expanded in succeeding bulletins, while the hoisted wind signals in some localities of the country will be upgraded as ‘Odette’ moves closer.
TCWS #2 may be hoisted this morning or afternoon for some areas currently under TCWS #1. The highest level of wind signal that may be hoisted during the passage of “ODETTE” is TCWS #3 due to possible destructive typhoon-force winds in localities near or along the path of this tropical cyclone.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
In the next 24 hours, moderate to high seas (1.2 to 7.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboards of areas where TCWS #1 is in effect (especially in the open sea areas). These conditions are risky for all types of sea vessels. Mariners are advised to remain in port or take shelter in port until winds and waves subside.
Under the influence of Severe Tropical Storm ‘Odette’ and the prevailing Northeast Monsoon, a Gale Warning remains in effect for the seaboards of Northern Luzon, the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon, the eastern and western seaboards of Southern Luzon, the western seaboard of Visayas, and the eastern seaboard of Mindanao not under any wind signal.
In the next 24 hours, moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 3.1 m) will also prevail over the remaining seaboards of Central Luzon, Southern Luzon, and Visayas, and the western and northern seaboards of Mindanao that are not under any wind signal. These conditions are risky for those using small seacrafts. Mariners are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigating in these conditions.
‘Odette’, the 15th tropical cyclone this year, entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) at 7 pm on Tuesday, December 14.
On average, there are 20 tropical cyclones that could form or enter the PAR each year. Only half of those are projected to make landfall.
The weather agency declared the onset of the rainy season on Friday, June 5.
— The Summit Express